In August of their respective campaigns, Hillary and Biden enjoyed double and three times the polling lead Harris currently has over Trump
Analysis from Real Clear Polling shows that Kamala Harris is in a significantly worse position relative to Donald Trump than Hillary Clinton and Joe Biden were in the 2016 and 2020 campaigns.
Polling averages show that in August 2016, Hillary Clinton had a 4.6 point advantage over Trump, which is more than double Kamala Harris’s 1.8 point lead at present.
Joe Biden had an even larger lead in August 2020: 6.3 points, which is well over three times Kamala’s current lead.
As we know, Trump beat Hillary in 2016, and even in the official certified result for 2020 Trump came within thousands of votes of Biden in key swing states.
Surveys of key demographics also suggest big problems for Harris.
A poll from the LIBRE Institute, published at the beginning of August, shows that Latinos are pessimistic about the direction of the country. 72% of those surveyed said they felt the country was heading in the wrong direction, with 59% disapproving of the job Joe Biden is doing as president, a 12% increase since last year’s LIBRE poll of Hispanic voters. Independent Hispanics had a particularly unfavourable view of Biden.
Just under 50% of Hispanics said they think they’re worse off than they were four years ago. 76% said they thought the economy was in a “fair” or “poor” state. Forty-two percent expected the economy to get worse and 85% said inflation was negatively affecting their lives.
Nearly three-quarters said they still believed in the American Dream, but 88% said it was harder then ever to achieve.
On immigration, 86% said the current system is broken, and 73% said that the southern border needs to be secured.
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