If Trump’s surge of black support carries into November, he could gain 56 Electoral College votes compared to 2020 and dominate the presidential election with 297 votes, CNN reports.
A CNN panel freaked out over Joe Biden’s plummeting support among black voters on Wednesday in response to a series of alarming polling figures.
When asked why the Biden campaign is “worried” about the latest numbers, CNN’s Harry Enten explained that Biden lost 11% of the black vote compared to 2020 while former President Donald Trump doubled his support among black voters since then.
“Take a look at the numbers now and compare it to where we were four years ago at this particular point among black voters, and we see a clear decline in support,” Enten said.
CNN Goes Apoplectic Over Joe Biden’s Massive Drop in Support Among Black Voters: These numbers, to be honest, could be deadly to Joe Biden’s campaign. It’s a huge alarm. It’s spiraling. It’s ambulance. It’s police sirens. It’s any alarm you can think of. That should be what’s… pic.twitter.com/YNHdqWWjYs
— Trump War Room (@TrumpWarRoom) May 29, 2024
“At this point, Joe Biden is getting just 70% of the black vote. 4 years ago at this point, he was at 81%. Look at that doubling of support for Donald Trump from 10% up to 21%!”
“If that held through the election, it would be the best performance for a Republican presidential candidate among black voters in 64 years since Richard Nixon back in 1960!” he added.
Enten noted that the bulk of the black vote that’s shifted to Trump is among those under 50 years old, signaling Trump’s America First message is resonating among the younger generation.
“Donald Trump in a recent average of polls is getting — get this — 27% support from them, Joe Biden at just 64%,” he said, adding this age breakdown shows Democrats can’t “treat black voters as a monolith.”
“It shows that younger black voters are far less supportive of the president than older black voters are,” he added.
Enten also highlighted that if this massive shift among the black vote to Trump and away from Biden was applied to the electoral college level, leaving all other metrics at the status quo, Trump would end up with 291 Electoral College votes — a 56-point gain from 2020.
Meanwhile, Biden’s 303 Electoral College votes from 2020 would collapse to 247.
Only 270 Electoral College votes are needed to win the presidential election.
“And that is why black voters are so pivotal to Joe Biden’s chances to win reelection,” Enten concluded.