The study followed German trends in gender dysphoria over a period of nine years to 2022
Nearly two-thirds of children, adolescents and young adults diagnosed with gender dysphoria will cease identifying with the opposite gender within a period of five years, according to a large-scale German study.
The study also found that a similar proportion of children, adolescents and young adults diagnosed with gender dysphoria had at least one other psychological condition, and that diagnoses of gender dysphoria have significantly increased.
The research was conducted by the Central Institute for Statutory Health Insurance, by reviewing insurance records from healthcare providers for persons aged between five and 24 years who had been diagnosed with gender dysphoria from 2013 to 2022. The researchers identified trends including which demographics were most affected and how long gender dysphoria persisted once diagnosed.
During the nine-year timeframe of the study, the vast majority ceased to identify as transgender. The group that was most likely to cease identification was females aged 15 to 19 years old.
The study also revealed that 72.4% of individuals diagnosed with gender dysphoria had at least one other psychological condition. Half of males and females had a depressive disorder, for example. This tracks with other studies such as a 2014 study that showed nearly 63% of all patients requesting gender reassignment had “at least one psychiatric comorbidity,” whether that was depression, adjustment disorder or a specific phobia. Another study showed that people with gender dysphoria are six times more likely to have autism.
The number of diagnoses of gender dysphoria increased by 780% during the period under study. After correcting for changes to diagnostic criteria, the researchers arrived at a figure of 289%, indicating that diagnoses almost tripled.
As well as being most likely to cease identifying as transgender, girls aged 15 to 19 were most likely to be diagnosed in the first place. The researchers believe this could be for a number of reasons: because more girls at this age really are transgender; because of decreasing stigmatization of transgenderism; or because of “social contagion” or “overdiagnosis.”
A 2018 study in the journal PLoS One suggested that social factors are clearly to blame for the spectacular rise in the number of cases of transgenderism. Social-media use and belonging to friendship groups with transgender-identifying people in them were key factors, especially in conjunction.
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